Event

Over the past five years the consensus framework for US-China relations among American policy makers has shifted from "constructive engagement" to "strategic competition." One reason for this shift was the growing view that the economic relationship had become much more favorable to China than to the United States. In this talk Mr Kroeber will analyze the economic sources of anxiety about China, including: the shift of manufacturing production and jobs from the US to China; the belief that the World Trade Organization was no longer fit to rein in China's discriminatory practices; fears over the impact of China' ambitious technological-development plans; and concerns over the impact of the Belt and Road Initiative. The talk will also offer an assessment of the validity of these concerns, and an evaluation of US policy responses.

Arthur  Kroeber co-founded the China-focused research service Dragonomics in Beijing in 2002 and is the editor-in-chief of China Economic Quarterly. Since Dragonomics' 2011 merger with Gavekal Research he has been head of research for the combined operation. Before founding Dragonomics, he was from 1987 to 2002 a journalist specializing in Asian economic affairs, and reported from China, India, Pakistan and other Asian countries. He has published widely in newspapers, magazines and academic journals, and is a fellow of the Brookings-Tsinghua Center in Beijing.